The estimated odds of getting drunk after having a first drink for Blacks were 0.43 (95% CI:0.38, 0.50) the odds for Whites, and the odds for Hispanics were 0.61 (95% CI:0.53,0.70) the odds for Whites; on average, Whites reached the first drunk milestone about one year prior to Black and Hispanic youth. For the transition from monthly drinking to weekly HED, OR=0.64 (95% CI:0.53,0.77) for Blacks and OR=0.84 (95% CI:0.70,0.995) for Hispanics. The median time to reach weekly HED was three years for Whites, four for Hispanics, and five for Blacks. Interestingly, odds of daily HED after first weekly HED for Blacks were greater than the odds for Whites (OR=1.38; 95% CI:1.03,1.85), in contrast to progression among the other milestones, suggesting telescoping of very heavy drinking among Blacks. There was no race difference in the interval between first drunk and first monthly drink.
