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Chunk #33 — Discussion

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Tobacco smoking and all-cause mortality in a large Australian cohort study: findings from a mature epidemic with current low smoking prevalence.
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To ensure that the study focussed on the likely causal effect of smoking on mortality, participants who had had cancer or cardiovascular disease at baseline were excluded. Although it was not possible to exclude individuals with chronic respiratory disease, sensitivity analyses indicated that the results did not change materially when individuals with a previous hospital admission including a diagnosis of respiratory illness were excluded. Because of the tendency for smokers, particularly older smokers, to quit due to ill-health, it was not possible to reliably estimate the mortality risks in those ceasing smoking at older ages (i.e., 55 years or older), although they represented the minority of past smokers. It should be noted that the findings here are contingent on surviving to age 45; however, few deaths attributable to smoking are likely to have occurred below this age.