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Chunk #10 — Limitations of prediction analyses — Limitation 2: Variance explainable by markers

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Pitfalls of predicting complex traits from SNPs.
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(so from 1% to 5% for a disease with a prevalence of 1%), but such an increase in risk can also be achieved by the cumulative effect of multiple common variants with smaller effect size. The contribution of rare variants can be included into a predictor by grouping them into defined classes of genes31, 32, or by incorporating prior knowledge of functions34.