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Chunk #25 — Pitfalls of the analysis — Pitfall 3: Population stratification similarity

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Pitfalls of predicting complex traits from SNPs.
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an example, we show that population stratification was inflating prediction accuracy in the FHS analysis (See BOX 3 for details). A more serious problem is when there is confounding between ancestry and disease status both in discovery and validation case-control samples, because such spurious association can lead to a predictor of ancestry rather than one of disease. It was recently suggested that the aforementioned predictor of autism56 suffers from this pitfall64.