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Chunk #37 — DISCUSSION

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Polygenic Prediction of Weight and Obesity Trajectories from Birth to Adulthood.
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The GPS may also accelerate research insights into the molecular and physiological basis of severe obesity. Traditional research approaches have compared the physiology of severely obese individuals to lean controls. However, it is difficult to draw inferences from such studies, since observed differences might be either a cause or a consequence of severe obesity. The GPS permits identification of individuals, from the time of birth, who inherit high susceptibility and before clinical disease is manifest. Careful study of individuals at the extremes of a GPS distribution might uncover new causal risk factors or pathways underlying disease. For example, healthy individuals with high polygenic score for heart attack were enriched for higher blood pressure, increased cholesterol levels, and increased rates of type 2 diabetes – each of these is a well-known and modifiable clinical risk factor (Khera et al., 2018b). Similarly, clinical and multi-omic profiling of those at the extremes of a GPS distribution for obesity may uncover the contributions and molecular correlates of pathways related to appetite regulation, fat storage, and microbiome perturbation and might enable identification of clinically relevant subtypes of severe obesity that most benefit from a given pharmacologic or behavioral intervention.