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Chunk #47 — Discussion

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The Anterior Cingulate Cortex Predicts Future States to Mediate Model-Based Action Selection.
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We compared behavior on task variants with and without transition probability reversals and found that they radically change behavior. Specifically, with fixed transition probabilities, subjects were much faster to adapt to reversals in reward probability and showed no main effect of outcome on subsequent choice but a strong transition-outcome interaction (i.e., behavior looked, at least superficially, strongly model based). We suggest there are three possible interpretations of this difference in terms of RL strategy. First, it is possible that both tasks recruit model-based planning, but it has a much stronger influence on choice in the fixed task. The challenge for this account is why behavior on the two tasks is so different, as model-based RL can cope with changes in reward or transition probabilities with comparable ease. Second, apparently strongly model-based behavior with fixed transition probabilities may in fact be due to subjects’ inferring the state of the reward probabilities and deploying fixed habitual actions conditioned on this, as discussed above. Third, behavior with fixed transition probabilities may be mediated by a successor representation (Dayan, 1993), which characterizes current states