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Chunk #32 — Discussion — Strengths and limitations

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Evidence for causal effects of lifetime smoking on risk for depression and schizophrenia: a Mendelian randomisation study.
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Fourth, schizophrenia and depression are disorders with an average age of onset around early to mid-adulthood (Office for National Statistics, 2018; World Health Organization, 2018). Our measure of lifetime smoking was generated using participants in the UK Biobank aged over 40 years. Therefore, the causal pathway from smoking to schizophrenia and depression risk might initially seem unclear. However, we were not using participants' smoking behaviour at age 40, but rather retrospective lifetime smoking behaviour from age at initiation. It is plausible that smoking behaviour in earlier life could increase risk of later mental health outcomes and exacerbate symptoms, consequently causing more smokers than non-smokers to seek a diagnosis. Furthermore, we saw consistent effects when using smoking initiation as the exposure. Individuals are more likely to initiate smoking prior to the average age at onset of schizophrenia and depression, with 90% of individuals initiating before 18 years of age (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2018). There has also been recent debate in the field about the interpretation of time varying exposures in MR and one way to minimise bias is