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Chunk #35 — Discussion — Limitations

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The genetic interpretation of area under the ROC curve in genomic profiling.
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We have also assumed that a genetic profile is applied in the same “average” environment as the genetic risks were estimated and we have assumed that all familiality is of genetic origin. The AUCmax will be lower than those derived here if any part of the sibling recurrence risk reflects co-variation of non-genetic origin. Using recurrence risks from different types of relatives, the importance of common environmental factors can be assessed and a λS which reflects the genetic contribution of sibling recurrence can be used in our calculations. We have also assumed that the genomic profile consists of genetic markers associated with disease that are passed on according to the rules of Mendelian inheritance. In the future, a genomic profile might include non-heritable genetic variants, for example recurrent de novo copy number variants or perhaps methylation status variants (for which the inheritance pattern, if any, is currently unclear [31]). Such variants, although genetic, do not contribute to the similarity between relatives, and so would be included in the environmental component when partitioning variance. Under these circumstances it is possible that