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Chunk #31 — DISCUSSION

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Twelve-month prevalence of and risk factors for suicide attempts in the World Health Organization World Mental Health Surveys.
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Third and perhaps most important, we developed risk factor indices for 12-month suicide attempts tailored for planned versus unplanned attempts and with versions available for both developed and developing countries. Although only a handful of factors emerged as predictors of suicide attempts among ideators, our analyses revealed that all four summary risk indices using these factors showed good discrimination properties (as evidenced by moderate to substantial AUCs of .74–.80) in the total sample that also performed quite well when applied to most developed countries and to a substantial minority of developing countries. These results suggest that the indices might prove useful in predicting suicide attempts in clinical settings; however, this remains an important question for future study. Although suicide prevention programs that include a focus on screening in order to identify people at elevated risk for suicide are among the only prevention programs that have shown an ability to decrease the rate of suicide death,64 such programs are not used in most clinical settings. What has been lacking is an empirically derived screening instrument that can be feasibly used in