In conclusion, this paper reports predictors of recent drinking outcomes in individuals identified as having an AUD at about 40 who were followed at an average of 60. The results support the low probability that these individuals with AUDs would be able to drink within the NIAAA guidelines for Low-Risk Drinking for 12 months and in the absence of multiple alcohol problems in the five years preceding follow-up. Results also reinforce the importance of distinguishing between High-Risk Drinking in the absence of multiple alcohol problems and Problem Drinking-related outcomes. Within this older population 42% achieved and maintained abstinence in the five years preceding follow-up.
