The multivariate model showed that SRO in wave 1 is the strongest predictor of a wave 2 SRO (AOR=3.49, 95% CI 3.18 to 3.84). Significant independent risk of future SRO was also observed for individuals who were woman, Hispanic, younger, cohabiting, divorced or separated, of lower income, unemployed and resided outside the Northeast region. Of the DSM-IV Axis I disorders, only anxiety (AOR=1.08, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.17) and ADHD (AOR=1.56, 95% CI 1.36 to 1.79) showed significantly elevated risk of wave 2 SRO; mood disorder was correlated with reduced wave 2 SRO risk (AOR=0.77, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.84). Three of the DSM-IV Axis II disorders, that is, borderline personality, schizotypal and avoidant personality, showed significantly increased risk for wave 2 SRO.