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Chunk #31 — Results — Within-pair analysis of smoking and suicide

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Prospective association between tobacco smoking and death by suicide: a competing risks hazard analysis in a large twin cohort with 35-year follow-up.
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Among the doubly discordant pairs, the co-twin was alive at the end of follow-up in 22 pairs, while in five pairs, the co-twin had died from natural causes. Only one pair (MZ) was such that the co-twin, who was an occasional smoker, had death from accidental poisoning (not considered suicide), while the suicide case was the never smoker. We ran a pairwise survival model in which the hazard for the smoking twins was compared with the hazard of the non-smoking co-twin, and the HR was 5.5 (95% CI 1.90–16.0, p = 0.002), with HRs of 7.0 and 4.3 for MZ and DZ pairs, respectively.