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Chunk #62 — STAR METHODS — QUANTIFICATION AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

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Polygenic Prediction of Weight and Obesity Trajectories from Birth to Adulthood.
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Within the ALSPAC cohort, individuals were stratified according to GPS decile and mean weights determined within each of 6 representative ages. P-values for linear trend were assessed using GPS decile as a predictor of observed weight at each age. Linear spline multi-level models were used to examine the association between the polygenic score and change in weight from birth to 18 years. Multi-level models estimate the mean trajectories of weight while accounting for non-independence of repeated measures within individuals, change in scale and variance of measures over time, differences in the number and timing of measurements between individuals (using all available data from all eligible participants under a missing-at-random assumption) (Howe et al., 2016; Tilling et al., 2014). Linear splines allow know points to be fitted at different ages to derive periods of change that are approximately linear. All participants with at least one measure of weight were included under a missing-at-random assumption to minimize selection bias in trajectories estimated using linear spline multi-level models (with two levels: measurement occasion and individual). Knot points were placed at ages 1, 8