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Chunk #93 — Discussion

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A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010.
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Fifth, we have excluded risks for which insufficient information exists to enable estimation of exposure, or for which the evidence of effect sizes is scarce. This approach excludes several risk–outcome pairs that have been previously included in global and regional assessments of risk factor attributable burden, such as unsafe sex and global climate change. Unsafe sexual practices were included in the 2000 comparative risk assessment but we excluded it because of the absence of robust estimates of exposure or available approaches to determine the proportion of HIV infection that is attributable to unsafe sexual practices by country over time. If quantifiable, unsafe sexual practices would probably account for a large fraction of global health burden; the direct burden of HIV is 3·3% of DALYs in 2010; other sexually transmitted infections account for 0·4% of DALYs. Similarly, we have been unable to control for confounding in observational studies of late initiation of breastfeeding, which is associated with an increased risk of neonatal mortality. Infants who might too ill or weak to breastfeed are more likely to die. In our analysis, we