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Chunk #87 — Results — Risk Profiles Associated with High Risk of Arrest

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Describing and predicting developmental profiles of externalizing problems from childhood to adulthood.
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The risk factor with the strongest association with arrest was peer deviance in later adolescence. The next strongest predictor of arrest was sex. Among females, their risk of arrest depended on individual stress in later adolescence. High individual stress, however, was not associated with particularly high risk of arrest among females who did not have high peer deviance (25% or less were arrested regardless of their levels of individual stress). Among males, on the other hand, risk of arrest was strongly conditional on individual stress in later adolescence. Two risk profiles associated with particularly high risk of arrest were: 1) high peer deviance in later adolescence (above the 89th percentile) and 2) males with high individual stress during later adolescence (above the 65th percentile). The first risk profile, high peer deviance, included 51 individuals of whom 67% were arrested. There were 59 males who had high individual stress in later adolescence, of whom 54% were arrested.