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Chunk #86 — Discussion

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A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010.
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The large attributable burden for dietary risk factors such as diets low in fruits, vegetables, whole grains, nuts and seeds, and seafood omega-3 fatty acids might surprise some readers. The large burden is caused by both high exposure—eg, low intake of fruits in many regions—and large effect sizes. We did supplementary analyses using information from studies of dietary patterns and randomised controlled feeding studies to examine the robustness of the effect sizes used in GBD 2010. The findings of these supplementary analyses were consistent with those from the meta-analyses of single risk factors. However, we stress that these results should still be interpreted with caution, particularly because of the debate surrounding the effects of seafood omega-3 fatty acids.143,188 Empirical assessments show that the pooled effect of risks and interventions trends towards a null result over time189,190 and this pattern could apply to seafood omega-3 fatty acids since the earlier, primarily observational effect sizes tended to show a larger effect than did the more recent randomised controlled trials. Because the difference between results of observational studies and randomised controlled trials is