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Chunk #48 — Discussion

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Adjustment for index event bias in genome-wide association studies of subsequent events.
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Other forms of selection bias may be present that are not addressed by our approach. For example, participation in either incidence or prognosis GWAS is often conditional on survival until time of recruitment, but there may be unmeasured common determinants of survival and incidence/prognosis that create further biases. We have previously shown survival bias to be potentially of similar importance to index event bias15, and this should be borne in mind when performing studies of prognosis, particularly when the index event may be acute as in coronary heart disease. Censoring after diagnosis, for example from death by competing risks, may also create bias if there are common determinants of incidence, censoring and/or prognosis. Our approach is developed under a simple model of incidence and prognosis, but provides a starting point for extensions that model the disease course more precisely.