Weight (or more properly body mass index) might be an appropriate model: many loci have been mapped (Berndt et al., 2013, Speliotes et al., 2010) and it has a heritability similar to MD (a recent estimate based on 20,000 sibling pairs gave 40% [Hemani et al., 2013], though this is lower than a large meta-analysis of twin data [Nan et al., 2012]). In Figure 3, we show results under the assumption that MD has a similar genetic architecture to weight (red dotted line) or to height (black continuous line) (Yang et al., 2010b). We estimated the number of samples needed for an MD GWAS to have 80% power to detect at least one locus, for different disease prevalences.