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Chunk #36 — The Methods — How Do Classification and Regression Trees Work? — Prediction and Interpretation of Classification and Regression Trees

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An introduction to recursive partitioning: rationale, application, and characteristics of classification and regression trees, bagging, and random forests.
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Even though the idea of piecewise constant functions may appear very inflexible, such functions can be used to approximate any functional form, in particular nonlinear and nonmonotone functions. This is in strong contrast to classical linear or additive regression, where the effects of predictors are restricted to the additive form – the interpretation of which may appear easier, but which may also produce severe artifacts, since in many complex applications the true data generating mechanism is neither linear nor additive. We will see later that ensemble methods, by combining the predictions of many single trees, can approximate functions more smoothly, too.