Finally, because the rate of first-time confirmed maltreatment has decreased sharply in some recent years (although less than the total confirmed maltreatment rate), our synthetic cohort life table estimates will be higher the cumulative prevalence of confirmed maltreatment in 2012, assuming rates of first-time confirmed maltreatment decline. However, since first-time rates of confirmed maltreatment have declined only moderately since 2007, as indicated by the stable cumulative prevalence for the total population from 2007 to 2011 (Figure 3; Figure A2), we expect the estimates presented here to be quite similar to what the 2012 and 2013 data find.
