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Chunk #22 — Methods — Effects of risk factors on disease outcomes

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A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010.
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Several dietary factors affect ischaemic heart disease and stroke, including consumption of fruits, vegetables, nuts and seeds, whole grains, processed meat, polyunsaturated fats, and seafood omega-3 fatty acids.81,83,85,87,90–92,141,142 We updated earlier systematic reviews and meta-analyses for fruits, vegetables, and seafood omega-3 fatty acids, which included both observational and intervention studies if available. A systematic review143 of randomised clinical trials of supplementation with seafood omega-3 fatty acids reported non-significant effects on several outcomes, and a significant effect for mortality from ischaemic heart disease—the primary outcome in GBD 2010. In view of this finding, we tested whether a significant difference exists between the randomised clinical trials of seafood omega-3 fatty acid supplementation and observational studies of seafood-omega 3 fatty acid intake. The effect of seafood omega-3 fatty acids tended to be lower in randomised controlled trials than in observational studies, however, this difference was not statistically significant (p=0·057). Therefore, we used the effect size based on the combination of randomised clinical trials and observational studies but also did a sensitivity analysis with the effect size based on randomised clinical trials.