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Chunk #52 — Methods — Simulations

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Polygenic prediction via Bayesian regression and continuous shrinkage priors.
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SNP, and applied each polygenic prediction method to the GWAS summary statistics. For P+T, LDpred, and PRS-CS, tuning parameters were selected in a validation data set of 3000 individuals that are unrelated to the training sample. The predictive performance of all the six methods was evaluated in 3000 individuals (the testing set) that are unrelated to both the training sample and the validation set. R2 between the observed and predicted traits was used to quantify the prediction accuracy. We regressed the true phenotype onto the PRS predictor, and used the regression slope as a measure of calibration. A slope close to one indicates that a predictor is well calibrated. For each combination of the genetic architecture and the training sample size (10,000, 20,000, 50,000, and 100,000), the simulation was repeated 20 times.