Figure 1 presents the results of the SEM (including the measurement model) for the combined sample of 345 males and females, with good fit indices as described in the legend. In Figure 1 the SEM explained 37% of the variance, and LR at Time 1 was connected to Time 2 outcome both directly and potentially through COPE. PEER and EXPECT were related to each other, and then to Time 2 outcomes indirectly through COPE. The SEM was not significantly impacted by age, and sex was only directly related to outcome, reflecting the more problematic alcohol outcomes for males. In this prospective model, mediation was seen for PEER through EXPECT through COPE to ALCOUT (confidence intervals: 0.419, 2.014), with the associated EXPECT through COPE to ALCOUT (0.070, 0.313), and PEER through COPE to ALCOUT (0.534, 2.892). However, the path from LR through COPE to ALCOUT was not quite significant (-.090, 2.090).
