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Chunk #3 — Introduction

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Collider scope: when selection bias can substantially influence observed associations.
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per SD increase in BMI 0.85, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.88), for retention between 2008 and 2011 using pre-pregnancy BMI as a predictor, and offspring (N = 7954, OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.96), for retention at age 18 using BMI at age 7 as a predictor. Similarly, among smoking mothers in ALSPAC, heaviness of smoking is associated with lower odds of retention (N = 3534, OR per additional cigarette smoked per day just prior to pregnancy 0.97, 95% CI 0.96 to 0.98). If low BMI and maternal non-smoking are both related to continuing participation in ALSPAC, this would tend to lead to the association between BMI and maternal smoking being negatively biased (i.e. we would expect to see a more negative association between smoking and BMI in ALSPAC than in the intended study population).Box 1).