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Chunk #4 — Discussion — Schizophrenia risk and smoking initiation

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Investigating causality in associations between smoking initiation and schizophrenia using Mendelian randomization.
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Our results did not support a possible causal effect of schizophrenia risk on smoking initiation. Sensitivity analyses suggested that although there was some heterogeneity in the results, there was no clear evidence for biological pleiotropy impacting on the findings, meaning that bias due to violation of one of the key assumptions of MR (i.e., that any genetic effect on the outcome only occurs via the exposure, and not directly) was unlikely to be substantial. The MR Egger regression causal estimate did not differ from the null. Although the point estimate was in the opposite direction, the confidence intervals were consistent with our main findings.