Validity of the assessment of bipolar spectrum disorders in the WHO CIDI 3.0.
- Authors
- Kessler, Ronald C; Akiskal, Hagop S; Angst, Jules; Guyer, Margaret; Hirschfeld, Robert M A; Merikangas, Kathleen R; Stang, Paul E
- Year
- 2006
- Journal
- Journal of affective disorders
- PMID
- 16997383
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.jad.2006.08.018
- PMCID
- PMC1821426
OBJECTIVE: Although growing interest exists in the bipolar spectrum, fully structured diagnostic interviews might not accurately assess bipolar spectrum disorders. A validity study was carried out for diagnoses of threshold and sub-threshold bipolar disorders (BPD) based on the WHO Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI) in the National Comorbidity Survey Replication (NCS-R). CIDI BPD screening scales were also evaluated. METHOD: The NCS-R is a nationally representative US household population survey (n=9282 using CIDI to assess DSM-IV disorders. CIDI diagnoses were evaluated in blinded clinical reappraisal interviews using the non-patient version of the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV (SCID). RESULTS: Excellent CIDI-SCID concordance was found for lifetime BP-I (AUC=.99 kappa=.88, PPV=.79, NPV=1.0), either BP-II or sub-threshold BPD (AUC=.96, kappa=.88, PPV=.85, NPV=.99), and overall bipolar spectrum disorders (i.e., BP-I/II or sub-threshold BPD; AUC=.99, kappa=.94, PPV=.88, NPV=1.0). Concordance was lower for BP-II (AUC=.83, kappa=.50, PPV=.41, NPV=.99) and sub-threshold BPD (AUC=.73, kappa=.51, PPV=.58, NPV=.99). The CIDI was unbiased compared to the SCID, yielding a lifetime bipolar spectrum disorders prevalence estimate of 4.4%. Brief CIDI-based screening scales detected 67-96% of true cases with positive predictive value of 31-52%. LIMITATION: CIDI prevalence estimates are still probably conservative, though, but might be improved with future CIDI revisions based on new methodological studies with a clinical assessment more sensitive than the SCID to sub-threshold BPD. CONCLUSIONS: Bipolar spectrum disorders are much more prevalent than previously realized. The CIDI is capable of generating conservative diagnoses of both threshold and sub-threshold BPD. Short CIDI-based scales are useful screens for BPD.
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