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Chunk #13 — RESULTS

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Directional relationships between alcohol use and antisocial behavior across adolescence.
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Tables 6 and 7 summarize the standardized path coefficients and correlations from cross-lagged models fit to the ALSPAC data. In Model 1 (Table 6), path coefficients were constrained equal across male and female subgroups. Autoregressive paths indicated that both ASB and ALC factors were highly stable over time. All autoregressive paths were highly significant, and preceding ALC or ASB factors were the strongest predictors of its subsequent factors. Cross-lagged paths showed different patterns of the relationship at different ages. Neither the ASB-to-ALC nor the ALC-to-ASB path was supported between ages 12 and 13. From ages 13 to 17, ASB-to-ALC paths were supported (0.274, CI = [0.221, 0.327], p < 0.001 between ages 13 and 15, and 0.124, CI = [0.067, 0.181], p < 0.001 between ages 15 and 17). Between ages 15 and 17, the ALC-to-ASB path was also supported (0.116, CI = [0.043, 0.189], p = 0.002). Residuals were strongly correlated at all occasions and showed an increasing trend through ages 13 to 17 (0.239 at age 13, 0.455 at age 15, and 0.648 at age 18). Strong residual