contributed 14·9% (12·7–17·5) more deaths and 12·4% (10·1–14·9) more DALYs. The contribution of population ageing in NCDs is noteworthy as it is the largest driver of trends in NCDs, and accounts for 19·5% (17·3–22·0) more deaths and 14·0% (11·6–16·3) more DALYs between 2006 and 2016. The residual category, which includes improvements in treatment along with other factors, accounts for a decrease of 15·3% (12·9–17·7) for deaths and 16·5% (14·1–18·8) for DALYs across all causes and is particularly large for CMNN causes accounting for a 30·0% (27·5–32·4) decline in deaths and a 26·8% (24·4–29·2) decline in DALYs since 2006.