Most analyses focused on the pattern of a limited number of social and biological predictors from baseline, at a time before the onset of an AUD, and from age 30 after the onset of an AUD. The most consistent predictor of initial and/or sustained remission across the outcomes was a lower usual frequency of drinking at T10. This item might reflect the salience of alcohol in the person’s life, despite the presence of alcohol-related problems. The next most consistent predictor of subsequent remission was the exposure to formal AUD treatment during the period prior to T10. Although the proportion of men with AA or formal treatment was small, such experiences early in life may have taught them the need for ongoing vigilance regarding future alcohol problems. It is also possible that alcoholic men with a greater drive to recover were those who sought out help early in their problematic alcohol use.
