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Chunk #25 — Methods — Effects of risk factors on disease outcomes

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A comparative risk assessment of burden of disease and injury attributable to 67 risk factors and risk factor clusters in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010.
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In addition to the dietary pattern studies, we also investigated the evidence for the effects of dietary risk factors from randomised controlled feeding studies, such as DASH149 and OmniHeart,150 which measured the effect of dietary changes on blood pressure and LDL cholesterol. We used meta-regression to estimate the pooled effect of fruits, vegetables, nuts and seeds, whole grains, fish, and dietary fibre on systolic blood pressure and LDL cholesterol, based on all randomised controlled feeding studies (six treatment groups from three studies for blood pressure and six treatment groups from two studies for cholesterol). When translated into an effect using the RRs of blood pressure and cholesterol for ischaemic heart disease, the average ratio of the estimated to measured RR reduction was 1·07 for all components and 0·85 when excluding fish, which has mechanisms additional to lowering blood pressure and cholesterol.151 These two supplementary analyses suggest that the RRs estimated in the meta-analyses of single dietary risk factors are unlikely to be significantly biased because of residual confounding due to other diet components.