Hypothesis 1 proposed that less than 20% of the participants would demonstrate Low-Risk Drinking in the prior year in the absence of multiple alcohol problems over the prior five years, and only 14% of these subjects fulfilled criteria for this Low-Risk Drinking category. The results are consistent with several other papers evaluating outcomes for individuals with AUDs (e.g., Gonçalves et al., 2017; Helzer et al., 1985; McCutcheon er al; 2017). Hypothesis 2 proposed that Low-Risk Drinking would be predicted by earlier lower SRE scores (high LRs per drink), low alcohol and drug involvement, and low externalizing characteristics. The univariate analyses in Table 2 confirmed most of those predictions, with the greatest salience in the Table 3 regression analysis observed for a high LR (i.e., a low number of drinks required for effects on the SRE), the absence of prior AUD treatments, experience with fewer illicit drugs, and having been widowed at baseline. LR status contributed to predictions of several outcomes and is commented on below, the absence of prior AUD treatments might reflect a less severe course of AUDs before
