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Chunk #31 — DISCUSSION

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Gene discovery and polygenic prediction from a genome-wide association study of educational attainment in 1.1 million individuals.
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Our results also highlight two caveats to the use of the polygenic scores in research. First, our within-family analyses suggest that GWAS estimates may overstate the causal effect sizes: if EA-increasing genotypes are associated with parental EA-increasing genotypes, which are in turn associated with rearing environments that promote EA, then failure to control for rearing environment will bias GWAS estimates. If this hypothesis is correct, some of the predictive power of the polygenic score reflects environmental amplification of the genetic effects. Without controls for this bias, it is therefore inappropriate to interpret the polygenic score for EA as a measure of genetic endowment.