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Chunk #28 — 3. Results — 3.2 Univariate Covariate Effects

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Predicting drinking onset with discrete-time survival analysis in offspring from the San Diego prospective study.
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The parameter estimates (“Est” in the table which represent the log hazard odds) and corresponding hazard odds ratios (with 95% confidence interval) for the univariate effects of each covariate on the hazard probabilities of drinking onset are listed in Table 2 under the Univariate Effects heading. Three predictors were significant in the expected direction: having an alcoholic parent was associated with drinking onset, and higher levels of conduct problems and prior use of marijuana were both associated with alcohol use onset across this age range. Offspring gender was only marginally significant such that males were more likely than females to have alcohol onset (p=.07).