A critical review of the first 10 years of candidate gene-by-environment interaction research in psychiatry.
- Authors
- Duncan, Laramie E; Keller, Matthew C
- Year
- 2011
- Journal
- The American journal of psychiatry
- PMID
- 21890791
- DOI
- 10.1176/appi.ajp.2011.11020191
- PMCID
- PMC3222234
OBJECTIVE: Gene-by-environment interaction (GΓE) studies in psychiatry have typically been conducted using a candidate GΓE (cGΓE) approach, analogous to the candidate gene association approach used to test genetic main effects. Such cGΓE research has received widespread attention and acclaim, yet cGΓE findings remain controversial. The authors examined whether the many positive cGΓE findings reported in the psychiatric literature were robust or if, in aggregate, cGΓE findings were consistent with the existence of publication bias, low statistical power, and a high false discovery rate. METHOD: The authors conducted analyses on data extracted from all published studies (103 studies) from the first decade (2000-2009) of cGΓE research in psychiatry. RESULTS: Ninety-six percent of novel cGΓE studies were significant compared with 27% of replication attempts. These findings are consistent with the existence of publication bias among novel cGΓE studies, making cGΓE hypotheses appear more robust than they actually are. There also appears to be publication bias among replication attempts because positive replication attempts had smaller average sample sizes than negative ones. Power calculations using observed sample sizes suggest that cGΓE studies are underpowered. Low power along with the likely low prior probability of a given cGΓE hypothesis being true suggests that most or even all positive cGΓE findings represent type I errors. CONCLUSIONS: In this new era of big data and small effects, a recalibration of views about groundbreaking findings is necessary. Well-powered direct replications deserve more attention than novel cGΓE findings and indirect replications.
Boxplots of Sample Sizes for Three Classifications of Replication Studies in Candidate Gene-by-Environment (cGΓE) Interaction Researchaa Positive replications significantly replicated (p<0.05) a previous cGΓE effect. Negative replications failed to replicate a previous cGΓE effect. Pure negative replications (a subset of negative replication attempts) failed to replicate a previous cGΓE effect and were published alone. Boxes are first and third quartiles; black lines represent whiskers (maximum and minimum non-outlier values). Outliers (values beyond 1.5 box lengths from the first or third quartile) are shown as points.
Testing for Publication Bias in Replication Attempts of Candidate Gene-by-Environment (cGΓE) Interaction Researchaa The graphs show power as a function of sample size for three potential cGΓE effect sizes (panel A) and distribution of observed sample sizes in the cGΓE literature (panel B).
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| The Genetics, Neurogenetics and Pharmacogenetics of Addiction. | Demers CH et al. | β | 2014 | β |
| The long arm of adolescence: school health behavioral environments, tobacco and alcohol co-use, and the 5HTTLPR gene. | Daw J et al. | β | 2014 | β |
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| Biological pathways and genetic mechanisms involved in social functioning. | OrdoΓ±ana JR et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| Child dopamine active transporter 1 genotype and parenting: evidence for evocative gene-environment correlations. | Hayden EP et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Childhood emotional environment and self-injurious behaviors: the moderating role of the BDNF Val66Met polymorphism. | Bresin K et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Contributions of maltreatment and serotonin transporter genotype to depression in childhood, adolescence, and early adulthood. | Cutuli JJ et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Convergent effects of mouse Pet-1 deletion and human PET-1 variation on amygdala fear and threat processing. | Wellman CL et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| DISC1 mouse models as a tool to decipher gene-environment interactions in psychiatric disorders. | Cash-Padgett T et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Early postnatal interference with the expression of multiple Sp1 regulated genes leads to disparate behavioral response to sub-chronic and chronic stress in rats. | Asor E et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Effect of gene, environment and maternal depressive symptoms on pre-adolescence behavior problems - a longitudinal study. | Agnafors S et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| Gender-specific gene-environment interaction in alcohol dependence: the impact of daily life events and GABRA2. | Perry BL et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| Gene-environment interactions in genome-wide association studies: current approaches and new directions. | Winham SJ et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| Gene Γ smoking interactions on human brain gene expression: finding common mechanisms in adolescents and adults. | Wolock SL et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Genetic contributions to continuity and change in attachment security: a prospective, longitudinal investigation from infancy to young adulthood. | Raby KL et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Genetic moderation of early child-care effects on social functioning across childhood: a developmental analysis. | Belsky J et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| GWAS of 126,559 individuals identifies genetic variants associated with educational attainment. | Rietveld CA et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| No moderating effect of 5-HTTLPR on associations between antenatal anxiety and infant behavior. | Braithwaite EC et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| On the evolution of the serotonin transporter linked polymorphic region (5-HTTLPR) in primates. | Dobson SD et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Overview of Behavioral Genetics Research for Family Researchers. | Samek D et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| Putting the 'epi' into epigenetics research in psychiatry. | El-Sayed AM et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Quantitative genetic research on sleep: a review of normal sleep, sleep disturbances and associated emotional, behavioural, and health-related difficulties. | Barclay NL et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Self-reported family socioeconomic status, the 5-HTTLPR genotype, and delinquent behavior in a community-based adolescent population. | Aslund C et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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| State dependent gene-environment interaction: serotonin transporter gene-child abuse interaction associated with suicide attempt history among depressed psychiatric inpatients. | Shinozaki G et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| Strong effects of environmental factors on prevalence and course of major depressive disorder are not moderated by 5-HTTLPR polymorphisms in a large Dutch sample. | Peyrot WJ et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| The Adult Netherlands Twin Register: twenty-five years of survey and biological data collection. | Willemsen G et al. | β | 2013 | β |
| The Influence of Major Life Events on Economic Attitudes in a World of Gene-Environment Interplay. | Hatemi PK | β | 2013 | β |
| The serotonin transporter linked polymorphic region and brain-derived neurotrophic factor valine to methionine at position 66 polymorphisms and maternal history of depression: associations with cognitive vulnerability to depression in childhood. | Hayden EP et al. | β | 2013 | β |
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